IN PROGRESS

Integrated infrastructure planning and 2050 climate neutrality: Deriving future-proof European energy infrastructure

Context

The European Union’s commitment to achieving climate neutrality by 2050 necessitates the transformation of our energy system. Achieving ambitious targets, including a 55% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, requires fossil fuel phase-out and the establishment of a new system centred on renewable energy and efficiency. This transition demands more than new generation capacity; it requires a complete reimagining how we plan the infrastructure that transports and delivers energy across the continent.

Historically, Europe’s energy networks for electricity, gas and heating have been planned and operated in separate systems. This fragmented sector-siloed approach is no longer viable for a highly integrated, renewables-based system. To achieve a climate-neutral future, it is essential to consider:

  1. An unprecedented expansion of the electricity grid to connect renewable generation sites with demand centres.
  2. The repurposing of existing gas networks to transport hydrogen.
  3. The development of new infrastructure for carbon management (CCUS).

The absence of integrated planning can result in misallocation of investment, obsolescence of assets in fossil fuel infrastructure, and a potential carbon lock-in that could compromise the achievement of climate targets. This project will address the pressing need to break down these divisions and provide an integrated pathway for developing the energy infrastructure Europe needs.

Project Description

This project, led by Agora Energiewende in partnership with EPG and other European energy think tanks, aims to promote an integrated approach to energy infrastructure planning. Our central goal is to provide the analytical foundation for developing future-proof electricity, hydrogen, and CO₂ networks that align with climate neutrality goals.

Through research, data analysis, and scenario modelling, the project derives an outlook for Europe’s energy infrastructure. This involves an analysis of the Romanian electricity and gas markets, its regulatory framework, and existing infrastructure limitations, while also supporting the debate on electricity market design reform, ensuring it supports the expansion of renewables.

The insights and analysis generated will be made available to the public through a series of reports, policy papers, and a public workshop. By equipping policymakers, industry stakeholders, and the public with a clear understanding of the challenges and opportunities associated with integrated infrastructure planning, the project partners aim to place it high on the political agenda and drive forward-looking investment decisions across Europe.

Topic

  • Grid Integration and Infrastructure Planning

Period

  • 01-Sept-2023 to 31-aug-2026

Project objectives

  • Reviewed and mapped current procedures and scenarios for European energy infrastructure development to identify key gaps and misalignments.
  • Developed an outlook for future-proofing European energy infrastructure through advanced scenario modelling.
  • Provided an analytical basis to support integrated infrastructure planning for electricity, hydrogen, and CO₂ networks at the national and EU level.
  • Increased awareness among policymakers and the public of the need for an integrated approach to achieve a cost-effective and resilient energy transition.

Partners

  • Agora Energiewende (lead) - Germany
  • ECCO - Italy
  • Forum Energii - Poland
  • Institut du Développement Durable et des Relations Internationales (IDDRI) - France

Funding

  • Sequoia Climate Foundation

EPG Project Manager

Nadia Maki EPG thinktank
Nadia Maki

Contributors

Constantin Postoiu EPG thinktank
Constantin Postoiu
Corina Lazăr EPG thinktank
Corina Lazăr
Alina Arsani EPG thinktank
Alina Arsani
Alexandru Ciocan EPG thinktank
Alexandru Ciocan
Luciana Miu EPG thinktank
Luciana Miu
Mihnea Cătuți EPG thinktank
Mihnea Cătuți